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Husqvarna W vs Göteborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Husqvarna W

PPG 0.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Göteborg W

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 67.0% vs bookmaker-implied 68.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-110.2%0-211.9%0-39.2%0-4+9.2%1 1-03.5%1-18.2%1-29.5%1-37.4%1-4+7.4%2 2-01.4%2-13.3%2-23.8%2-32.9%2-4+2.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-21.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% 19.2% 5.20 -18.5%

Draw 20.4% 22.7% 4.40 -6.1%

Away win 66.3% 69.4% 1.44 -4.5%

Over 2.5 61.3% 65.4% 1.53 -6.2%

Over 3.5 39.9% 43.3% 2.31 -7.8%

BTTS 52.3% 62.5% 1.60 -16.3%

Home O1.5 33.3% 31.1% 3.22 +7.2%

Away O1.5 67.0% 68.5% 1.46 -2.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob52.3%

A 66% / xG 0.8-2.3 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.9%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 0–3 9.2%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Husqvarna W0.8

Göteborg W2.3

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.3% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HUSQVARNA W · PPG 0.80

GÖTEBORG W · PPG 2.20

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

xG gap -1.52 for Away, form 0.80 vs 2.20

Win probability 1X2

Husqvarna W (H) 13.3%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV -18.5%

Draw 20.4%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV -6.1%

Göteborg W (A) 66.3%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -4.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Husqvarna W face Göteborg W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Husqvarna W a 13% chance, the draw 20% and Göteborg W 66%, so Göteborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Husqvarna W and 2.3 for Göteborg W (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Husqvarna W are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 2.20 for Göteborg W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +7.2%.

Husqvarna W vs Göteborg W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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