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Sandviken W vs Alingsås W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 11:00

Sandviken W

PPG 0.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Alingsås W

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.8%0-114.4%0-28.1%0-33.1%0-4+1.1%1 1-011.9%1-113.4%1-27.6%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.5%2-16.2%2-23.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.7%3-11.9%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% — — —

Draw 27.1% — — —

Away win 41.1% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 33.3% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

A 41% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 12.8%

#3 0–1 14.4%

#4 1–0 11.9%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken W0.9

Alingsås W1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN W · PPG 0.20

ALINGSÅS W · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.20, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken W (H) 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alingsås W (A) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken W face Alingsås W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken W a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Alingsås W 41%, so Alingsås W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sandviken W and 1.1 for Alingsås W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken W are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 0.60 for Alingsås W.

Sandviken W vs Alingsås W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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