Today / Sweden - Elitettan / Linköping W vs Örebro SK W

Linköping W vs Örebro SK W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 12 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 17:30

Linköping W logo
Linköping W
PPG 2.60 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Örebro SK W logo
Örebro SK W
PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 2.60 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-13.6%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-012.5%1-18.0%1-22.6%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.0%2-19.0%2-22.9%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.5%3-16.8%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-09.9%4+-16.4%4+-22.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 63.8%
Draw 20.9%
Away win 15.3%
Over 2.5 61.2%
Over 3.5 37.3%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5 60.1%
Away O1.5 19.5%

League track record

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5 29%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 53%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.6 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.0%
#2 1–0 12.5%
#3 3–0 10.5%
#4 1–1 8.0%
#5 2–1 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Linköping W2.2
Örebro SK W0.6

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

LINKÖPING W · PPG 2.60

ÖREBRO SK W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.60 for Home, form 2.60 vs 0.67 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Linköping W (H) 63.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Örebro SK W (A) 15.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Linköping W face Örebro SK W in Sweden - Elitettan on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Linköping W a 64% chance, the draw 21% and Örebro SK W 15%, so Linköping W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Linköping W and 0.6 for Örebro SK W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Linköping W are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.67 for Örebro SK W.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org