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Dordoi Bishkek vs Neftchi Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Matchday 18 ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 14:30

Dordoi Bishkek

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Neftchi

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-17.5%0-24.6%0-31.9%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.4%1-111.7%1-27.3%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.2%2-25.7%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.9%3-14.8%3-23.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 28.2% — — —

Over 2.5 57.0% — — —

Over 3.5 34.5% — — —

BTTS 59.2% — — —

Home O1.5 46.5% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 80%

Score Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.2%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 0–0 6.0%

#4 1–0 9.4%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dordoi Bishkek1.6

Neftchi1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.0% · O3.5 PROB 34.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DORDOI BISHKEK · PPG 1.00

NEFTCHI · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dordoi Bishkek (H) 47.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Neftchi (A) 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dordoi Bishkek face Neftchi in Kyrgyzstan - Premier League on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dordoi Bishkek a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Neftchi 28%, so Dordoi Bishkek are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dordoi Bishkek and 1.2 for Neftchi (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dordoi Bishkek are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.25 for Neftchi.

Dordoi Bishkek vs Neftchi Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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