Today / Peru - Liga Women / Defensores W vs UNSAAC W
Defensores W vs UNSAAC W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women
Clausura - 1 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 20:15
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 64% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 46.1%
Form & verdict
DEFENSORES W · PPG 1.20
UNSAAC W · PPG 0.17
xG gap +1.72 for Home, form 1.20 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Defensores W face UNSAAC W in Peru - Liga Women on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Defensores W a 64% chance, the draw 17% and UNSAAC W 19%, so Defensores W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Defensores W and 1.0 for UNSAAC W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Defensores W are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 0.17 for UNSAAC W.