Today / Peru - Liga Women / Killas W vs Alianza Lima W
Killas W vs Alianza Lima W Prediction— Peru - Liga Women
Clausura - 1 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 55% / xG 1.0-1.9 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.2%
Form & verdict
KILLAS W · PPG 0.40
ALIANZA LIMA W · PPG 1.33
xG gap -0.85 - moderate Away edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Killas W face Alianza Lima W in Peru - Liga Women on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Killas W a 22% chance, the draw 23% and Alianza Lima W 55%, so Alianza Lima W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Killas W and 1.9 for Alianza Lima W (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Killas W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.33 for Alianza Lima W.