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Deportivo Lara vs Yaracuyanos FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 21:00

Deportivo Lara

PPG 2.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yaracuyanos FC

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-16.8%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.0%1-111.5%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.6%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.1%3-15.4%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 24.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.7%

H 54% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 2–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Lara1.7

Yaracuyanos FC0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO LARA · PPG 2.22

YARACUYANOS FC · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.79 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Lara (H) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yaracuyanos FC (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Lara face Yaracuyanos FC in Venezuela - Segunda División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Lara a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Yaracuyanos FC 22%, so Deportivo Lara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Deportivo Lara and 0.9 for Yaracuyanos FC (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Lara are averaging 2.22 points per game versus 1.12 for Yaracuyanos FC.

Deportivo Lara vs Yaracuyanos FC Prediction— Venezuela - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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