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Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Apertura - 12 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 23:30

Oriente Petrolero

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nacional Potosí

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-16.5%0-23.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.3%1-111.3%1-25.6%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.6%3-15.6%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.6%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 29.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.4%

H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–0 9.8%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 11.3%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oriente Petrolero1.7

Nacional Potosí1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ORIENTE PETROLERO · PPG 2.00

NACIONAL POTOSÍ · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Oriente Petrolero (H) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nacional Potosí (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oriente Petrolero face Nacional Potosí in Bolivia - Primera División on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oriente Petrolero a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Nacional Potosí 24%, so Oriente Petrolero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Oriente Petrolero and 1.0 for Nacional Potosí (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oriente Petrolero are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.83 for Nacional Potosí.

Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí Prediction— Bolivia - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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