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Ceará U20 vs Vila Real FC U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20
Quarter-finals ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 18:00
// Model verdict
Home Over 1.5
xG gap +2.34 for Home, form 2.50 vs 0.60 - Strong consensus
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 72% / xG 3.1-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 53%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%
Form & verdict
CEARÁ U20 · PPG 2.50
VILA REAL FC U20 · PPG 0.60
xG gap +2.34 for Home, form 2.50 vs 0.60 - Strong consensus
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Ceará U20 face Vila Real FC U20 in Brazil - Cearense U20 on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ceará U20 a 72% chance, the draw 19% and Vila Real FC U20 10%, so Ceará U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Ceará U20 and 0.8 for Vila Real FC U20 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ceará U20 are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Vila Real FC U20.