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CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Regular Season - 6 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:00

CSF Bălți

PPG 1.34 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sheriff Tiraspol

PPG 1.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.77 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-110.4%0-29.4%0-35.7%0-4+3.9%1 1-06.0%1-110.9%1-29.9%1-36.0%1-4+4.1%2 2-03.1%2-15.7%2-25.2%2-33.1%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.1%3-12.0%3-21.8%3-31.1%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.2% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 50.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 4 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 0%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 100%

Score Hit 0%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.4%

A 51% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 9.9%

#3 0–2 9.4%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CSF Bălți1.0

Sheriff Tiraspol1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CSF BĂLȚI · PPG 1.34

SHERIFF TIRASPOL · PPG 1.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.77 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

CSF Bălți (H) 25.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sheriff Tiraspol (A) 50.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CSF Bălți face Sheriff Tiraspol in Moldova - Super Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CSF Bălți a 25% chance, the draw 24% and Sheriff Tiraspol 51%, so Sheriff Tiraspol are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for CSF Bălți and 1.8 for Sheriff Tiraspol (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CSF Bălți are averaging 1.34 points per game versus 1.85 for Sheriff Tiraspol.

CSF Bălți vs Sheriff Tiraspol Prediction— Moldova - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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