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CAPS United vs Highlanders Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 26 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:00

CAPS United logo
CAPS United
PPG 1.83 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Highlanders logo
Highlanders
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.8%0-113.7%0-25.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.8%1-112.9%1-24.7%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-08.4%2-16.1%2-22.2%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-11.9%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 40.6%
Draw 31.6%
Away win 27.8%
Over 2.5 33.6%
Over 3.5 17.1%
BTTS 45.4%
Home O1.5 32.6%
Away O1.5 20.3%

League track record

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%
O2.5 77%
BTTS 77%
Score Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.4%

H 41% / xG 0.9-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.8%
#2 1–0 17.8%
#3 1–1 12.9%
#4 0–1 13.7%
#5 2–0 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CAPS United0.9
Highlanders0.7

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CAPS UNITED · PPG 1.83

HIGHLANDERS · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.22, combined xG 1.67 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

CAPS United (H) 40.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 31.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Highlanders (A) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

CAPS United face Highlanders in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CAPS United a 41% chance, the draw 32% and Highlanders 28%, so CAPS United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for CAPS United and 0.7 for Highlanders (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CAPS United are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.50 for Highlanders.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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