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Kariba vs Dynamos Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Kariba

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dynamos

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.0%0-118.8%0-29.3%0-33.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.8%1-112.6%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-04.3%2-14.3%2-22.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.0%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% — — —

Draw 31.7% — — —

Away win 41.5% — — —

Over 2.5 33.6% — — —

Over 3.5 17.1% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 28.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob45.4%

A 42% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.0%

#2 0–1 18.8%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 12.8%

#5 0–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kariba0.7

Dynamos1.0

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KARIBA · PPG 1.33

DYNAMOS · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.31, combined xG 1.66 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kariba (H) 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dynamos (A) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kariba face Dynamos in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kariba a 27% chance, the draw 32% and Dynamos 42%, so Dynamos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Kariba and 1.0 for Dynamos (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kariba are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.92 for Dynamos.

Kariba vs Dynamos Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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