Today / Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League / Agama vs Ngezi Platinum

Agama vs Ngezi Platinum Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Agama

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ngezi Platinum

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-117.3%0-29.7%0-33.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-011.5%1-112.9%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.3%2-14.8%2-22.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.1%3-11.2%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.4% — — —

Draw 31.4% — — —

Away win 40.2% — — —

Over 2.5 37.3% — — —

Over 3.5 18.4% — — —

BTTS 45.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob45.4%

A 40% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.5%

#2 0–1 17.3%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–2 9.7%

#5 1–0 11.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Agama0.7

Ngezi Platinum1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AGAMA · PPG 1.00

NGEZI PLATINUM · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.37, combined xG 1.87 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Agama (H) 28.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ngezi Platinum (A) 40.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Agama face Ngezi Platinum in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Agama a 28% chance, the draw 31% and Ngezi Platinum 40%, so Ngezi Platinum are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Agama and 1.1 for Ngezi Platinum (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Agama are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Ngezi Platinum.

Agama vs Ngezi Platinum Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League Predictions