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Scotland Mabvuku vs MWOS Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Scotland Mabvuku

PPG 2.08 · HOME

UPCOMING

MWOS

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-15.8%0-21.2%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-022.5%1-18.8%1-21.7%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.0%2-16.7%2-21.3%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.6%3-13.4%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-11.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.4% — — —

Draw 23.9% — — —

Away win 15.7% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 22.8% — — —

BTTS 44.9% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 11.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.9%

H 60% / xG 1.5-0.4 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 22.5%

#2 2–0 17.0%

#3 0–0 14.8%

#4 1–1 8.8%

#5 3–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Scotland Mabvuku1.5

MWOS0.4

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SCOTLAND MABVUKU · PPG 2.08

MWOS · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.12 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Scotland Mabvuku (H) 60.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

MWOS (A) 15.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Scotland Mabvuku face MWOS in Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Scotland Mabvuku a 60% chance, the draw 24% and MWOS 16%, so Scotland Mabvuku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Scotland Mabvuku and 0.4 for MWOS (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Scotland Mabvuku are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 1.08 for MWOS.

Scotland Mabvuku vs MWOS Prediction— Zimbabwe - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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