Today / Sweden - Elitettan / Jitex W vs Örebro SK W

Jitex W vs Örebro SK W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 11 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 12:00

Jitex W

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Örebro SK W

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.06, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-112.6%0-27.1%0-32.7%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.9%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.3%2-17.1%2-24.0%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.2%3-12.5%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.1% — — —

Draw 28.3% — — —

Away win 34.6% — — —

Over 2.5 46.8% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 51.9% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.9%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 0–1 12.6%

#4 1–0 11.9%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jitex W1.1

Örebro SK W1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

JITEX W · PPG 0.67

ÖREBRO SK W · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.06, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Jitex W (H) 37.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Örebro SK W (A) 34.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jitex W face Örebro SK W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jitex W a 37% chance, the draw 28% and Örebro SK W 35%, so Jitex W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Jitex W and 1.1 for Örebro SK W (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jitex W are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Örebro SK W.

Jitex W vs Örebro SK W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Elitettan Predictions