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Flint City Bucks vs Vermont Green Prediction— USA - USL League Two

Final ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:30

Flint City Bucks

PPG 2.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Vermont Green

PPG 3.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.50 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.1%0-24.6%0-33.5%0-4+3.3%1 1-03.2%1-17.2%1-28.1%1-36.1%1-4+5.8%2 2-02.8%2-16.3%2-27.1%2-35.3%2-4+5.1%3 3-01.6%3-13.7%3-24.1%3-33.1%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.4%4+-22.7%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 45.3% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 47.4% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 49.4% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 5 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 80%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 64%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob70.3%

A 45% / xG 1.8-2.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.2%

#2 1–2 8.1%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 2–1 6.3%

#5 1–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flint City Bucks1.8

Vermont Green2.3

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FLINT CITY BUCKS · PPG 2.80

VERMONT GREEN · PPG 3.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.50 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Flint City Bucks (H) 32.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vermont Green (A) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flint City Bucks face Vermont Green in USA - USL League Two on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flint City Bucks a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Vermont Green 45%, so Vermont Green are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Flint City Bucks and 2.3 for Vermont Green (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flint City Bucks are averaging 2.80 points per game versus 3.00 for Vermont Green.

Flint City Bucks vs Vermont Green Prediction— USA - USL League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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