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Flint City Bucks vs Ventura County Fusion Prediction— USA - USL League Two

Semi-finals ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 23:00

Flint City Bucks

PPG 2.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ventura County Fusion

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-16.6%0-24.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.1%1-111.0%1-27.5%1-33.4%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.7%2-19.2%2-26.2%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.8%3-15.1%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.1%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 28.6% — — —

Over 2.5 62.0% — — —

Over 3.5 39.9% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 53.5% — — —

Away O1.5 41.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 100%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob62.5%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Flint City Bucks1.7

Ventura County Fusion1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

FLINT CITY BUCKS · PPG 2.78

VENTURA COUNTY FUSION · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Flint City Bucks (H) 46.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ventura County Fusion (A) 28.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Flint City Bucks face Ventura County Fusion in USA - USL League Two on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flint City Bucks a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Ventura County Fusion 29%, so Flint City Bucks are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Flint City Bucks and 1.4 for Ventura County Fusion (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flint City Bucks are averaging 2.78 points per game versus 2.25 for Ventura County Fusion.

Flint City Bucks vs Ventura County Fusion Prediction— USA - USL League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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