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Floresta CE U20 vs Quixadá U20 Prediction— Brazil - Cearense U20

Quarter-finals ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:00

Floresta CE U20 logo
Floresta CE U20
PPG 2.25 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Quixadá U20 logo
Quixadá U20
PPG 2.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.2%0-110.3%0-22.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.3%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.9%2-16.4%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.4%3-12.4%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 48.3%
Draw 30.5%
Away win 21.2%
Over 2.5 33.8%
Over 3.5 17.1%
BTTS 45.4%
Home O1.5 32.6%
Away O1.5 17.4%

League track record

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 100%
O2.5 100%
BTTS 67%
Score Hit 100%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob45.4%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.2%
#2 1–0 21.3%
#3 1–1 11.5%
#4 2–0 11.9%
#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Floresta CE U201.1
Quixadá U200.5

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.8% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FLORESTA CE U20 · PPG 2.25

QUIXADÁ U20 · PPG 2.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Floresta CE U20 (H) 48.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Quixadá U20 (A) 21.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Floresta CE U20 face Quixadá U20 in Brazil - Cearense U20 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Floresta CE U20 a 48% chance, the draw 31% and Quixadá U20 21%, so Floresta CE U20 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Floresta CE U20 and 0.5 for Quixadá U20 (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Floresta CE U20 are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 2.25 for Quixadá U20.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

18+ only. PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Match dates and kick-off times come from third-party data and may change — confirm with official sources before betting. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. BeGambleAware.org