Today / Sweden - Elitettan / Alingsås W vs Enskede W

Alingsås W vs Enskede W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 12 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

Alingsås W

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Enskede W

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-113.1%0-210.0%0-35.1%0-4+2.7%1 1-08.0%1-112.2%1-29.3%1-34.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-03.7%2-15.6%2-24.3%2-32.2%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.1%3-11.7%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.5% 30.3% 3.30 +4.0%

Draw 25.6% 30.3% 3.30 -9.3%

Away win 42.8% 51.3% 1.95 -16.5%

Over 2.5 50.4% 56.8% 1.76 -11.3%

Over 3.5 28.9% 35.1% 2.85 -10.6%

BTTS 52.6% 60.2% 1.66 -12.7%

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 29%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.6%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.5 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1 13.1%

#3 0–0 8.6%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Alingsås W0.9

Enskede W1.5

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ALINGSÅS W · PPG 1.00

ENSKEDE W · PPG 1.50

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.60 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Alingsås W (H) 31.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +4.0%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.3%

Enskede W (A) 42.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Alingsås W face Enskede W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alingsås W a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Enskede W 43%, so Enskede W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Alingsås W and 1.5 for Enskede W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alingsås W are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Enskede W.

Alingsås W vs Enskede W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Elitettan Predictions