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Muras United vs Bishkek City Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Regular Season - 16 ·Friday, July 24, 2026, 14:30

Muras United

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bishkek City

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-14.4%0-21.9%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.9%1-19.3%1-24.0%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.5%2-19.8%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.0%3-16.9%3-22.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-15.9%4+-22.5%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.0% — — —

Draw 22.5% — — —

Away win 20.4% — — —

Over 2.5 60.7% — — —

Over 3.5 37.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 61.8% — — —

Away O1.5 20.6% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob55.4%

H 57% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.5%

#2 1–1 9.3%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 3–0 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Muras United2.1

Bishkek City0.9

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MURAS UNITED · PPG 2.00

BISHKEK CITY · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Muras United (H) 57.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bishkek City (A) 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Muras United face Bishkek City in Kyrgyzstan - Premier League on Friday, July 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Muras United a 57% chance, the draw 23% and Bishkek City 20%, so Muras United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Muras United and 0.9 for Bishkek City (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Muras United are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Bishkek City.

Muras United vs Bishkek City Prediction— Kyrgyzstan - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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