Leagues / MALTA / Premier League

Premier League

MALTA · 12 MATCHES TRACKED · 17 AUG 2026 – 2 SEPT 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

Upcoming Premier League predictions

2 FIXTURES WITH ODDS · MODEL PICK, PROBABILITY AND EV PER MATCH

DateMatchPickProbOddsEV

2 SEPT18:00 Hibernians vs Valletta FC BTTS 55% 1.73 -6%2 SEPT19:00 Floriana vs Gzira United Home 67% 1.50 +0%

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 10 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

60.0%

1X2

6/10

50.0%

O/U 2.5

5/10

50.0%

BTTS

5/10

60.0%

Exact score

6/10

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

66.7%

Hit rate

2/3

2.57

Avg odds

+88.7%

ROI

+2.7u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 2.57 · +88.7% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+275.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

50%

Hit

-4.5%

ROI

Match log

10 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

August 2026 // 9 PICKS · 3 HIT · 6 MISS

30 AUG Mosta vs Birkirkara BTTS 1–0 MISS 29 AUG Hamrun Spartans vs Floriana — NO PICK 1–1 —28 AUG Hibernians vs Zabbar St. Patrick BTTS -7% 1–1 HIT 28 AUG Valletta FC vs Marsaxlokk Home +9% 1–2 MISS 23 AUG Gzira United vs Valletta FC BTTS -2% 0–3 MISS 22 AUG Birkirkara vs Hamrun Spartans Home +95% 1–0 HIT 21 AUG Floriana vs Sliema Wanderers Home +11% 2–0 HIT 21 AUG Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians BTTS -12% 1–0 MISS 17 AUG Birkirkara vs Gzira United BTTS -2% 4–0 MISS 17 AUG Hamrun Spartans vs Mosta Home -25% 0–2 MISS