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Gangneung City vs Yeoju Sejong Prediction— South-Korea - K3 League

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 10:00

Gangneung City

PPG 1.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

Yeoju Sejong

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-113.8%0-27.5%0-32.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.4%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.0%2-16.6%2-23.6%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.0%3-12.1%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.0% — — —

Draw 29.7% — — —

Away win 35.3% — — —

Over 2.5 43.8% — — —

Over 3.5 23.7% — — —

BTTS 48.5% — — —

Home O1.5 35.0% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 0–1 13.8%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gangneung City1.0

Yeoju Sejong1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.8% · O3.5 PROB 23.7%

Form & verdict PPG

GANGNEUNG CITY · PPG 1.14

YEOJU SEJONG · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.11, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Gangneung City (H) 35.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Yeoju Sejong (A) 35.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gangneung City face Yeoju Sejong in South-Korea - K3 League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gangneung City a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Yeoju Sejong 35%, so Yeoju Sejong are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Gangneung City and 1.1 for Yeoju Sejong (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gangneung City are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.14 for Yeoju Sejong.

Gangneung City vs Yeoju Sejong Prediction— South-Korea - K3 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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