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Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail Prediction— South-Korea - K3 League

Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 09:00

Pocheon

PPG 2.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Daejeon Korail

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.4%0-19.9%0-25.2%0-31.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-012.4%1-113.0%1-26.8%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.1%2-18.5%2-24.5%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.5%3-13.7%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.6%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 27.4% — — —

Over 2.5 50.0% — — —

Over 3.5 28.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 38.5% — — —

Away O1.5 36.4% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.4%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pocheon1.3

Daejeon Korail1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

POCHEON · PPG 2.12

DAEJEON KORAIL · PPG 1.90

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 2.36 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pocheon (H) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Daejeon Korail (A) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pocheon face Daejeon Korail in South-Korea - K3 League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pocheon a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Daejeon Korail 27%, so Pocheon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pocheon and 1.1 for Daejeon Korail (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pocheon are averaging 2.12 points per game versus 1.90 for Daejeon Korail.

Pocheon vs Daejeon Korail Prediction— South-Korea - K3 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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