Today / South-Korea - K3 League / Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo City
Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo City Prediction— South-Korea - K3 League
Regular Season - 18 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 10:00
// Model verdict
Home Over 1.5
xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 59% / xG 2.1-0.9 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.5%
Form & verdict
DANGJIN CITIZEN · PPG 1.57
MOKPO CITY · PPG 0.88
xG gap +1.23 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Dangjin Citizen face Mokpo City in South-Korea - K3 League on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dangjin Citizen a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Mokpo City 20%, so Dangjin Citizen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Dangjin Citizen and 0.9 for Mokpo City (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dangjin Citizen are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.88 for Mokpo City.