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I. Bratislava vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 14:30

I. Bratislava

PPG 1.58 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Pohronie

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-19.5%0-25.7%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.6%1-112.7%1-27.6%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.0%2-18.5%2-25.1%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.1%3-13.8%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.7%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.7% 47.6% 2.10 -16.6%

Draw 26.7% 32.3% 3.10 -17.2%

Away win 33.6% 33.3% 3.00 +0.8%

Over 2.5 46.5% — — —

Over 3.5 25.0% — — —

BTTS 51.5% 61.7% 1.62 -16.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 18%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob51.5%

H 40% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 1–0 10.6%

#3 0–1 9.5%

#4 2–1✓ 8.5%

#5 0–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

I. Bratislava1.3

Pohronie1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.0%

Form & verdict PPG

I. BRATISLAVA · PPG 1.58

POHRONIE · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.58) vs P(Home)=39.7%

Win probability 1X2

I. Bratislava (H) 39.7%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -16.6%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -17.2%

Pohronie (A) 33.6%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

I. Bratislava face Pohronie in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. Bratislava a 40% chance, the draw 27% and Pohronie 34%, so I. Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for I. Bratislava and 1.2 for Pohronie (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. Bratislava are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.75 for Pohronie. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 2-1.

I. Bratislava vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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