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IFK Göteborg W vs Hacken B W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 11:00

IFK Göteborg W logo
IFK Göteborg W
PPG 2.00 · HOME
2 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Hacken B W logo
Hacken B W
PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 71.3% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.1%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.1%1-13.9%1-21.2%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.2%2-16.6%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.5%3-17.4%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-023.0%4+-114.8%4+-24.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 71.3% 1.25 -10.9%
Draw 20.5% 5.00 +1.5%
Away win 8.2% 9.00 -15.7%
Over 2.5 65.8% 1.44 -5.3%
Over 3.5 44.1% 2.04 -10.0%
BTTS 47.2% 1.73 -18.3%

Win probability 1X2

IFK Göteborg W (H) 71.3%
ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -10.9%
Draw 20.5%
ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +1.5%
Hacken B W (A) 8.2%
ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV -15.7%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5 14%
BTTS 29%
Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 71%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-1
xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.2%

H 71% / xG 3.4-0.6 / O2.5 66% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.5%
#2 2–0 10.2%
#3 4–0 9.7%
#4 3–1 7.4%
#5 5–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IFK Göteborg W3.4
Hacken B W0.6

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

IFK GÖTEBORG W · PPG 2.00

HACKEN B W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Match Preview & Prediction

IFK Göteborg W face Hacken B W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IFK Göteborg W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Hacken B W 8%, so IFK Göteborg W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for IFK Göteborg W and 0.6 for Hacken B W (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IFK Göteborg W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.00 for Hacken B W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 2-1.

PredictVantage

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