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KIF Orebro W vs Alingsas W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 14:00

KIF Orebro W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Alingsas W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-15.8%0-22.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.7%1-110.8%1-25.4%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.9%2-19.9%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.1%3-16.1%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-14.2%4+-22.1%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.6% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 23.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.2% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 54.9% — — —

Away O1.5 26.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.3%

H 54% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0✓ 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.7%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KIF Orebro W1.8

Alingsas W1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KIF OREBRO W · PPG 2.00

ALINGSAS W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=53.6%

Win probability 1X2

KIF Orebro W (H) 53.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alingsas W (A) 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KIF Orebro W face Alingsas W in Sweden - Elitettan on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KIF Orebro W a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Alingsas W 24%, so KIF Orebro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for KIF Orebro W and 1.0 for Alingsas W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KIF Orebro W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Alingsas W. This match finished 2-0.

KIF Orebro W vs Alingsas W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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