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Gamla Upsala W vs Orebro W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Regular Season - 8 ·Friday, May 29, 2026, 18:00

Gamla Upsala W

PPG 0.25 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Orebro W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-110.4%0-27.5%0-33.6%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.5%1-112.3%1-28.9%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.1%2-17.3%2-25.3%2-32.5%2-4+1.3%3 3-02.0%3-12.9%3-22.1%3-31.0%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.8% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 43.0% — — —

Over 2.5 54.5% — — —

Over 3.5 32.2% — — —

BTTS 55.3% — — —

Home O1.5 33.2% — — —

Away O1.5 42.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 14%

BTTS 29%

Score Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.3%

A 43% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.3%

#2 0–0 7.2%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gamla Upsala W1.2

Orebro W1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.5% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GAMLA UPSALA W · PPG 0.25

OREBRO W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Gamla Upsala W (H) 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Orebro W (A) 43.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gamla Upsala W face Orebro W in Sweden - Elitettan on Friday, May 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gamla Upsala W a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Orebro W 43%, so Orebro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Gamla Upsala W and 1.4 for Orebro W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gamla Upsala W are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.00 for Orebro W. This match finished 1-1.

Gamla Upsala W vs Orebro W Prediction— Sweden - Elitettan

Match Preview & Prediction

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