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Sparta Prague W vs Slovacko W Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 09:00

Sparta Prague W

PPG 2.67 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Slovacko W

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-10.5%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-02.5%1-12.1%1-20.9%1-30.2%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.5%2-14.5%2-21.9%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-07.8%3-16.5%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-027.1%4+-122.6%4+-29.4%4+-32.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 74.4% — — —

Draw 17.8% — — —

Away win 7.8% — — —

Over 2.5 79.0% — — —

Over 3.5 75.3% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 88%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)4.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob54.6%

H 74% / xG 4.3-0.8 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 8.4%

#2 3–0 7.8%

#3 5–0 7.2%

#4 4–1✓ 7.0%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta Prague W4.3

Slovacko W0.8

COMBINED 5.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.0% · O3.5 PROB 75.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA PRAGUE W · PPG 2.67

SLOVACKO W · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.67), Away AVERAGE (1.44) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Sparta Prague W (H) 74.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Slovacko W (A) 7.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta Prague W face Slovacko W in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta Prague W a 74% chance, the draw 18% and Slovacko W 8%, so Sparta Prague W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.3 for Sparta Prague W and 0.8 for Slovacko W (5.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta Prague W are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 1.44 for Slovacko W. This match finished 4-1.

Sparta Prague W vs Slovacko W Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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