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Ostrava W vs FC Praha W Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:00

Ostrava W

PPG 1.11 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

FC Praha W

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.2%0-21.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.1%1-16.0%1-24.5%1-32.2%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.2%2-26.1%2-33.0%2-4+1.5%3 3-05.0%3-17.4%3-25.5%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-06.6%4+-19.8%4+-27.2%4+-33.6%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.0% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 60.4% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 88%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.0%

H 54% / xG 2.7-1.5 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.2%

#2 3–1 7.4%

#3 1–1 6.0%

#4 2–2 6.1%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ostrava W2.7

FC Praha W1.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 60.4%

Form & verdict PPG

OSTRAVA W · PPG 1.11

FC PRAHA W · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Ostrava W (H) 54.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Praha W (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ostrava W face FC Praha W in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ostrava W a 54% chance, the draw 23% and FC Praha W 23%, so Ostrava W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Ostrava W and 1.5 for FC Praha W (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ostrava W are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 0.00 for FC Praha W. This match finished 3-2.

Ostrava W vs FC Praha W Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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