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Slovacko W vs Liberec W Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, May 17, 2026, 12:00

Slovacko W

PPG 1.78 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Liberec W

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-12.0%0-22.0%0-31.4%0-4+1.1%1 1-02.6%1-15.2%1-25.2%1-33.5%1-4+2.8%2 2-03.3%2-16.7%2-26.8%2-34.6%2-4+3.7%3 3-02.9%3-15.8%3-25.9%3-34.0%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-17.1%4+-27.1%4+-34.8%4+-4+3.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 25.7% — — —

Over 2.5 73.3% — — —

Over 3.5 67.8% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 88%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob66.7%

H 52% / xG 2.6-2.0 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.8%

#2 2–1 6.7%

#3 1–1 5.2%

#4 3–2 5.9%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovacko W2.6

Liberec W2.0

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.3% · O3.5 PROB 67.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVACKO W · PPG 1.78

LIBEREC W · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.78) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Slovacko W (H) 51.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Liberec W (A) 25.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovacko W face Liberec W in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women on Sunday, May 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovacko W a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Liberec W 26%, so Slovacko W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Slovacko W and 2.0 for Liberec W (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovacko W are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.33 for Liberec W. This match finished 2-4.

Slovacko W vs Liberec W Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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