Today / Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women / Slavia Prague W vs Liberec W

Slavia Prague W vs Liberec W Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women

Regular Season - 17 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 10:30

Slavia Prague W logo
Slavia Prague W
PPG 2.63 · HOME
3 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O3.5
Liberec W logo
Liberec W
PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 5.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.3%0-10.4%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-01.4%1-11.6%1-20.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-03.4%2-13.8%2-22.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.2%3-15.9%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-022.0%4+-124.9%4+-214.0%4+-35.3%4+-4+1.9%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 74.4%
Draw 17.8%
Away win 7.8%
Over 2.5 79.5%
Over 3.5 82.7%
BTTS 58.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 88%
O2.5 75%
BTTS 50%
Score Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 69%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-0
xG (home)4.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.5%

H 74% / xG 4.6-1.1 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–1 6.8%
#2 5–1 6.3%
#3 4–0 6.0%
#4 3–1 5.9%
#5 5–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Prague W4.6
Liberec W1.1

COMBINED 5.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 82.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA PRAGUE W · PPG 2.63

LIBEREC W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.63), Away GOOD (1.50) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Prague W (H) 74.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 17.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Liberec W (A) 7.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Prague W face Liberec W in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga Women on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Prague W a 74% chance, the draw 18% and Liberec W 8%, so Slavia Prague W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.6 for Slavia Prague W and 1.1 for Liberec W (5.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Prague W are averaging 2.63 points per game versus 1.50 for Liberec W. This match finished 3-0.

PredictVantage

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