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Slovakia - 2. liga logo Slovakia flag Slovakia - 2. liga Regular Season - 25 Futbalovy stadion OFK Banik· Lehota pod Vtacnikom Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:30
Lehota p. V. logo Lehota p. V. PPG 1.58
3-3 MISS
Puchov logo Puchov PPG 0.67
Home· +28.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.8%
Odds: 2.30 EV: +28.3%
Draw 21.8%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -32.4%
Away 22.4%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -39.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: —
BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.62 -3.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 2-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Lehota p. V.
1.97
Puchov
1.18

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.58) vs P(Home)=55.8%

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