Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.9% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 38.6% Odds: — —
BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.62 -3.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.58) vs P(Home)=55.8%