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Lehota p. V. vs Puchov Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 25 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:30

Lehota p. V.

PPG 1.58 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Puchov

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-15.1%0-23.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-08.5%1-110.0%1-25.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.3%2-19.8%2-25.8%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-05.5%3-16.5%3-23.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-15.0%4+-22.9%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.8% 43.5% 2.30 +28.3%

Draw 21.8% 32.3% 3.10 -32.4%

Away win 22.4% 37.0% 2.70 -39.5%

Over 2.5 60.9% — — —

Over 3.5 38.6% — — —

BTTS 59.5% 61.7% 1.62 -3.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.5%

H 56% / xG 2.0-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 1–0 8.5%

#4 2–0 8.3%

#5 3–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lehota p. V.2.0

Puchov1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LEHOTA P. V. · PPG 1.58

PUCHOV · PPG 0.67

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.58) vs P(Home)=55.8%

Win probability 1X2

Lehota p. V. (H) 55.8%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +28.3%

Draw 21.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -32.4%

Puchov (A) 22.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -39.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lehota p. V. face Puchov in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lehota p. V. a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Puchov 22%, so Lehota p. V. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lehota p. V. and 1.2 for Puchov (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lehota p. V. are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.67 for Puchov. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.3%. This match finished 3-3.

Lehota p. V. vs Puchov Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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