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Zvolen vs Zilina B Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 15:00

Zvolen

PPG 1.57 · HOME

5 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Zilina B

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-15.5%0-22.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.8%1-110.4%1-25.5%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.9%3-16.3%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-14.6%4+-22.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 51.3% 1.95 -3.9%

Draw 25.6% 28.2% 3.55 -5.5%

Away win 25.1% 30.8% 3.25 -11.1%

Over 2.5 59.3% 61.7% 1.62 -3.9%

Over 3.5 34.3% 40.0% 2.50 -14.2%

BTTS 54.6% 66.7% 1.50 -18.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.6%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.3%

#4 1–0 9.8%

#5 0–0 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zvolen1.9

Zilina B1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.3%

Form & verdict PPG

ZVOLEN · PPG 1.57

ZILINA B · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Zvolen (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -3.9%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -5.5%

Zilina B (A) 25.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -11.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zvolen face Zilina B in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zvolen a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Zilina B 25%, so Zvolen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Zvolen and 1.1 for Zilina B (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zvolen are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.86 for Zilina B. This match finished 5-2.

Zvolen vs Zilina B Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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