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Zilina B vs Malzenice Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 08:30

Zilina B

PPG 1.31 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Malzenice

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-17.3%0-26.1%0-33.4%0-4+2.1%1 1-06.4%1-110.7%1-28.9%1-35.0%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.6%2-17.8%2-26.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.3%3-13.8%3-23.2%3-31.8%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.9%4+-21.6%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.9% 48.8% 2.05 -34.6%

Draw 26.8% 27.8% 3.60 -3.5%

Away win 41.3% 33.3% 3.00 +23.9%

Over 2.5 60.5% 61.7% 1.62 -2.0%

Over 3.5 38.2% 40.0% 2.50 -4.5%

BTTS 63.9% 66.7% 1.50 -4.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.9%

A 41% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.7%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zilina B1.5

Malzenice1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 38.2%

Form & verdict PPG

ZILINA B · PPG 1.31

MALZENICE · PPG 1.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.31) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Zilina B (H) 31.9%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -34.6%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -3.5%

Malzenice (A) 41.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +23.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zilina B face Malzenice in Slovakia - 2. liga on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zilina B a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Malzenice 41%, so Malzenice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Zilina B and 1.7 for Malzenice (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zilina B are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.00 for Malzenice. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +23.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Zilina B vs Malzenice Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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