Puchov vs Zlate Moravce Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Slovakia - 2. liga Regular Season - 28 Mestský štadión· Púchov Saturday, May 2, 2026 15:30

Puchov PPG 1.23

1-0 MISS

Zlate Moravce PPG 1.31

Over3.5· +14.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Puchov face Zlate Moravce in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Puchov a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Zlate Moravce 42%, so Zlate Moravce are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Puchov and 1.8 for Zlate Moravce (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Puchov are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.31 for Zlate Moravce. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.7%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 32.8%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -26.2%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -9.8%

Away 41.8%

Odds: 2.70 EV: +12.9%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.0% Odds: 1.65 +8.9%

Over 3.5 44.1% Odds: 2.60 +14.7%

BTTS 68.0% Odds: 1.53 +4.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Puchov

1.59

Zlate Moravce

1.81

Model SuggestionBTTS +4.0% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+14.7%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5/Under 49%

BTTS/No 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -37.5%

Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.31)