Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / Samorin vs S. Bratislava B

Samorin vs S. Bratislava B Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Samorin

PPG 1.15 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

S. Bratislava B

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.6%0-17.3%0-24.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-08.8%1-111.5%1-27.5%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.9%2-19.1%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-03.6%3-14.8%3-23.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.7%4+-21.7%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.9% 56.5% 1.77 -25.8%

Draw 28.1% 27.4% 3.65 +2.6%

Away win 30.0% 26.3% 3.80 +14.0%

Over 2.5 55.1% 61.7% 1.62 -10.7%

Over 3.5 32.7% 40.0% 2.50 -18.3%

BTTS 59.6% 65.4% 1.53 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob59.6%

H 42% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 55% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.5%

#4 0–0 5.6%

#5 1–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Samorin1.6

S. Bratislava B1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.1% · O3.5 PROB 32.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SAMORIN · PPG 1.15

S. BRATISLAVA B · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.15), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Samorin (H) 41.9%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -25.8%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +2.6%

S. Bratislava B (A) 30.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV +14.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Samorin face S. Bratislava B in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Samorin a 42% chance, the draw 28% and S. Bratislava B 30%, so Samorin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Samorin and 1.3 for S. Bratislava B (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Samorin are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 1.00 for S. Bratislava B. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +14.0%. This match finished 1-1.

Samorin vs S. Bratislava B Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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