Rizespor vs Konyaspor Prediction— Turkey - Süper Lig

Turkey - Süper Lig Regular Season - 32 Çaykur Didi Stadyumu· Rize Friday, May 1, 2026 14:00

Rizespor PPG 1.53

3-2 MISS

Konyaspor PPG 1.07

Draw· +2.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Rizespor face Konyaspor in Turkey - Süper Lig on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rizespor a 40% chance, the draw 29% and Konyaspor 30%, so Rizespor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rizespor and 1.2 for Konyaspor (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rizespor are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.07 for Konyaspor. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.2%. This match finished 3-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 40.4%

Odds: 2.12 EV: -14.3%

Draw 29.2%

Odds: 3.50 EV: +2.2%

Away 30.4%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -2.7%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.9% Odds: 1.70 -13.5%

Over 3.5 28.8% Odds: 2.80 -19.4%

BTTS 56.6% Odds: 1.57 -11.1%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Rizespor

1.46

Konyaspor

1.25

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+2.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.07)