Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / Lehota p. V. vs I. Bratislava

Lehota p. V. vs I. Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 28 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 12:00

Lehota p. V.

PPG 1.54 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

I. Bratislava

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.1% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-18.5%0-25.7%0-32.6%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.8%1-112.0%1-28.1%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.3%2-18.5%2-25.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.0%3-14.0%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.9%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% 44.4% 2.25 -17.0%

Draw 29.0% 30.3% 3.30 -4.3%

Away win 34.1% 35.1% 2.85 -2.8%

Over 2.5 52.4% 55.6% 1.80 -5.7%

Over 3.5 30.2% 33.3% 3.00 -9.4%

BTTS 58.1% 61.7% 1.62 -5.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.1%

D 29% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 0–0 6.2%

#5 1–0✓ 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lehota p. V.1.4

I. Bratislava1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LEHOTA P. V. · PPG 1.54

I. BRATISLAVA · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Lehota p. V. (H) 36.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -17.0%

Draw 29.0%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.3%

I. Bratislava (A) 34.1%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -2.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lehota p. V. face I. Bratislava in Slovakia - 2. liga on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lehota p. V. a 37% chance, the draw 29% and I. Bratislava 34%, so Lehota p. V. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Lehota p. V. and 1.4 for I. Bratislava (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lehota p. V. are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.31 for I. Bratislava. This match finished 1-0.

Lehota p. V. vs I. Bratislava Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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