Zlate Moravce vs Pohronie Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Slovakia - 2. liga Regular Season - 27 Štadión FC ViOn· Zlaté Moravce Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Zlate Moravce PPG 1.77

0-1 MISS

Pohronie PPG 0.69

Away· +25.1% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Zlate Moravce face Pohronie in Slovakia - 2. liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zlate Moravce a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Pohronie 28%, so Zlate Moravce are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Zlate Moravce and 1.7 for Pohronie (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zlate Moravce are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 0.69 for Pohronie. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.9%

Odds: 1.60 EV: -26.6%

Draw 26.3%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -5.3%

Away 27.8%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +25.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 54.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.62 -5.2%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zlate Moravce

2.21

Pohronie

1.69

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.77) vs P(Home)=45.9%