Today / Slovakia - 2. liga / Slavia TU K. vs Lehota p. V.

Slavia TU K. vs Lehota p. V. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 27 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 09:00

Slavia TU K.

PPG 1.54 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Lehota p. V.

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 59.4% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-15.1%0-23.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.9%1 1-06.6%1-19.6%1-27.1%1-33.5%1-4+1.8%2 2-06.2%2-19.1%2-26.7%2-33.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.9%3-15.8%3-24.2%3-32.1%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-14.2%4+-23.1%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.1% 55.6% 1.80 -18.8%

Draw 27.6% 27.8% 3.60 -0.6%

Away win 27.3% 28.2% 3.55 -3.1%

Over 2.5 59.4% 64.5% 1.55 -7.9%

Over 3.5 43.3% — — —

BTTS 58.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob58.5%

H 45% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.1%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia TU K.1.9

Lehota p. V.1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA TU K. · PPG 1.54

LEHOTA P. V. · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.54) > Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

Slavia TU K. (H) 45.1%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -18.8%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -0.6%

Lehota p. V. (A) 27.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia TU K. face Lehota p. V. in Slovakia - 2. liga on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia TU K. a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Lehota p. V. 27%, so Slavia TU K. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Slavia TU K. and 1.5 for Lehota p. V. (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia TU K. are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.77 for Lehota p. V.. This match finished 1-1.

Slavia TU K. vs Lehota p. V. Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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