Namdhari vs Chanmari Prediction— India - I-League

India - I-League Regular Season - 9 Namdhari Stadium Friday, April 17, 2026 10:30

Namdhari PPG 0.33

1-4 MISS

Chanmari PPG 0.75

Away· +35.4% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Namdhari face Chanmari in India - I-League on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Namdhari a 31% chance, the draw 22% and Chanmari 48%, so Chanmari are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Namdhari and 2.0 for Chanmari (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Namdhari are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 0.75 for Chanmari. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +35.4%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.7%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -35.5%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -24.8%

Away 47.5%

Odds: 2.85 EV: +35.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.0% Odds: 1.65 +12.2%

Over 3.5 46.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 67.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Namdhari

1.55

Chanmari

1.96

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +12.2% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+35.4%)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.33) vs Away POOR (0.75)