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Rajasthan Utd vs Sreenidi Deccan Prediction— India - I-League

Promotion Group - 1 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 13:00

Rajasthan Utd

PPG 2.60 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

Sreenidi Deccan

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.6%0-111.3%0-23.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.5%1-112.6%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.3%2-17.0%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.8%3-12.6%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 44.4% 2.25 +3.3%

Draw 31.8% 31.3% 3.20 +1.8%

Away win 22.3% 36.4% 2.75 -38.7%

Over 2.5 26.9% 55.6% 1.80 -51.6%

Over 3.5 10.8% — — —

BTTS 33.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob33.2%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 27% / NoBTTS 33%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.5%

#2 0–0 16.6%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–0 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rajasthan Utd1.1

Sreenidi Deccan0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 26.9% · O3.5 PROB 10.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RAJASTHAN UTD · PPG 2.60

SREENIDI DECCAN · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=45.9%

Win probability 1X2

Rajasthan Utd (H) 45.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +3.3%

Draw 31.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +1.8%

Sreenidi Deccan (A) 22.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -38.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rajasthan Utd face Sreenidi Deccan in India - I-League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rajasthan Utd a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Sreenidi Deccan 22%, so Rajasthan Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rajasthan Utd and 0.7 for Sreenidi Deccan (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 27% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 33% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rajasthan Utd are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 1.50 for Sreenidi Deccan. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.3%. This match finished 1-2.

Rajasthan Utd vs Sreenidi Deccan Prediction— India - I-League

Match Preview & Prediction

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