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I. Bratislava vs Petrzalka Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Regular Season - 27 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

I. Bratislava

PPG 1.69 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Petrzalka

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.4%0-111.2%0-26.0%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.4%1-113.3%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.3%2-17.9%2-24.2%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.9%3-13.1%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 44.4% 2.25 -13.4%

Draw 28.6% 34.5% 2.90 -17.1%

Away win 32.9% 34.5% 2.90 -4.6%

Over 2.5 39.4% — — —

Over 3.5 19.3% — — —

BTTS 45.8% 57.1% 1.75 -19.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 49%

BTTS 69%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -2.6%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob45.8%

D 29% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 39% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 1–0 12.4%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 0–0 10.4%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

I. Bratislava1.2

Petrzalka1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 39.4% · O3.5 PROB 19.3%

Form & verdict PPG

I. BRATISLAVA · PPG 1.69

PETRZALKA · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.69) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

I. Bratislava (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -13.4%

Draw 28.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -17.1%

Petrzalka (A) 32.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

I. Bratislava face Petrzalka in Slovakia - 2. liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives I. Bratislava a 39% chance, the draw 29% and Petrzalka 33%, so I. Bratislava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for I. Bratislava and 1.1 for Petrzalka (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, I. Bratislava are averaging 1.69 points per game versus 1.00 for Petrzalka. This match finished 0-2.

I. Bratislava vs Petrzalka Prediction— Slovakia - 2. liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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