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Pelister vs FK Rabotnicki Prediction— Macedonia - Second League

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 14:30

Pelister

PPG 1.36 · HOME

LAST 5

DDW ··

UPCOMING

FK Rabotnicki

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.7%0-19.7%0-24.9%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.9%1-112.9%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.6%2-18.6%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.8%3-13.8%3-21.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.7%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% 51.3% 1.95 -19.9%

Draw 28.5% 30.8% 3.25 -4.4%

Away win 30.4% 29.4% 3.40 +3.4%

Over 2.5 44.5% 59.9% 1.67 -25.7%

Over 3.5 25.6% 39.2% 2.55 -20.8%

BTTS 49.7% 61.0% 1.64 -18.5%

Home O1.5 38.9% — — —

Away O1.5 30.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.7%

H 41% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 1–0 12.9%

#3 0–0 9.7%

#4 0–1 9.7%

#5 2–1 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pelister1.3

FK Rabotnicki1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PELISTER · PPG 1.36

FK RABOTNICKI · PPG 1.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

50%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.33, combined xG 2.34 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Pelister (H) 41.1%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -19.9%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -4.4%

FK Rabotnicki (A) 30.4%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pelister face FK Rabotnicki in Macedonia - Second League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pelister a 41% chance, the draw 28% and FK Rabotnicki 30%, so Pelister are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Pelister and 1.0 for FK Rabotnicki (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pelister are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.50 for FK Rabotnicki.

Pelister vs FK Rabotnicki Prediction— Macedonia - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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