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Akademija Pandev vs Makedonija GjP Prediction— Macedonia - Second League

Matchday 4 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 14:30

Akademija Pandev

PPG 1.93 · HOME

LAST 5

WDW ··

UPCOMING

Makedonija GjP

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWL ··

// Model verdict

Home 57% chance

Model probability 50.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-18.3%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.9%1-112.3%1-25.4%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.1%2-24.0%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.1%3-14.5%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.6% 59.9% 1.67 -15.5%

Draw 26.7% 28.6% 3.50 -3.9%

Away win 22.7% 23.1% 4.33 -1.0%

Over 2.5 47.1% 54.1% 1.85 -12.9%

Over 3.5 27.0% 33.3% 3.00 -11.4%

BTTS 49.9% 53.8% 1.86 -7.2%

Home O1.5 39.9% — — —

Away O1.5 25.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 6 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.9%

H 51% / xG 1.5-0.9 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 13.9%

#3 2–0 10.3%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Akademija Pandev1.5

Makedonija GjP0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 27.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AKADEMIJA PANDEV · PPG 1.93

MAKEDONIJA GJP · PPG 1.75

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

57%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Akademija Pandev (H) 50.6%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -15.5%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.9%

Makedonija GjP (A) 22.7%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -1.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Akademija Pandev face Makedonija GjP in Macedonia - Second League on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Akademija Pandev a 51% chance, the draw 27% and Makedonija GjP 23%, so Akademija Pandev are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Akademija Pandev and 0.9 for Makedonija GjP (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Akademija Pandev are averaging 1.93 points per game versus 1.75 for Makedonija GjP.

Akademija Pandev vs Makedonija GjP Prediction— Macedonia - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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