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Belasica vs Detonit Plachkovica Prediction— Macedonia - Second League

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 18:00

Belasica

PPG 1.87 · HOME

LAST 5

WWD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Detonit Plachkovica

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

LAST 5

WD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-17.6%0-24.2%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.8%1-112.0%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.4%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.4%3-14.9%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.3% 57.1% 1.75 -20.7%

Draw 27.6% 29.4% 3.40 -3.7%

Away win 27.1% 25.0% 4.00 +5.0%

Over 2.5 50.5% 48.1% 2.08 +5.0%

Over 3.5 28.7% 27.8% 3.60 +2.0%

BTTS 52.6% 50.0% 2.00 +5.2%

Home O1.5 46.4% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 3 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5 33%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 45% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 10.8%

#4 0–0 6.9%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Belasica1.6

Detonit Plachkovica1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BELASICA · PPG 1.87

DETONIT PLACHKOVICA · PPG 1.73

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Belasica (H) 45.3%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -20.7%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -3.7%

Detonit Plachkovica (A) 27.1%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Belasica face Detonit Plachkovica in Macedonia - Second League on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belasica a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Detonit Plachkovica 27%, so Belasica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Belasica and 1.1 for Detonit Plachkovica (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belasica are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 1.73 for Detonit Plachkovica. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +5.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Belasica vs Detonit Plachkovica Prediction— Macedonia - Second League

Match Preview & Prediction

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