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Laktaši vs Sutjeska Foča Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 15:00

Laktaši

PPG 2.09 · HOME

LAST 5

WW ···

UPCOMING

Sutjeska Foča

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 66% chance

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-13.8%0-21.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-010.8%1-18.5%1-23.4%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.1%2-19.6%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.0%3-17.2%3-22.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-16.8%4+-22.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.5% 89.3% 1.12 -27.8%

Draw 20.5% 13.3% 7.50 +32.3%

Away win 15.0% 6.7% 15.00 +75.0%

Over 2.5 56.7% 69.4% 1.44 -18.4%

Over 3.5 36.0% 47.2% 2.12 -23.7%

BTTS 51.6% 49.8% 2.01 +3.7%

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 23.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob51.6%

H 64% / xG 2.2-0.8 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 12.1%

#2 1–1 8.5%

#3 2–1 9.6%

#4 1–0 10.8%

#5 3–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Laktaši2.2

Sutjeska Foča0.8

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LAKTAŠI · PPG 2.09

SUTJESKA FOČA · PPG 0.87

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

Chance this pick lands

66%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.45 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Laktaši (H) 64.5%

ODDS 1.12 · IMPLIED 89.3% EV -27.8%

Draw 20.5%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +32.3%

Sutjeska Foča (A) 15.0%

ODDS 15.00 · IMPLIED 6.7% EV +75.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Laktaši face Sutjeska Foča in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Laktaši a 65% chance, the draw 21% and Sutjeska Foča 15%, so Laktaši are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Laktaši and 0.8 for Sutjeska Foča (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Laktaši are averaging 2.09 points per game versus 0.87 for Sutjeska Foča. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +3.7%.

Laktaši vs Sutjeska Foča Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

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