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FK Romanija Pale vs Drina Zvornik Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 15:00

FK Romanija Pale

PPG 1.26 · HOME

LAST 5

WL ···

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Drina Zvornik

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

LD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-18.9%0-24.7%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.0%1-112.6%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.5%2-18.9%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.0%3-14.2%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.0%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 43.5% 2.30 +4.7%

Draw 26.1% 32.3% 3.10 -11.5%

Away win 28.3% 35.7% 2.80 -12.5%

Over 2.5 50.2% 45.5% 2.20 +10.4%

Over 3.5 28.4% 33.3% 3.00 -8.9%

BTTS 53.0% 59.9% 1.67 -11.5%

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 33.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.0%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.0 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 2–1✓ 8.9%

#4 0–0 8.5%

#5 2–0 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FK Romanija Pale1.4

Drina Zvornik1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FK ROMANIJA PALE · PPG 1.26

DRINA ZVORNIK · PPG 1.13

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 2.47 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

FK Romanija Pale (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +4.7%

Draw 26.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -11.5%

Drina Zvornik (A) 28.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Romanija Pale face Drina Zvornik in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Romanija Pale a 46% chance, the draw 26% and Drina Zvornik 28%, so FK Romanija Pale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for FK Romanija Pale and 1.0 for Drina Zvornik (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Romanija Pale are averaging 1.26 points per game versus 1.13 for Drina Zvornik. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +10.4%. This match finished 2-1.

FK Romanija Pale vs Drina Zvornik Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

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