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FK Romanija Pale vs Omarska Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

RS · Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 14:30

FK Romanija Pale

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

WL ···

UPCOMING

Omarska

PPG 0.64 · AWAY

LAST 5

LD ···

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-15.8%0-22.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.0%1-110.7%1-24.8%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.8%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.7%3-16.0%3-22.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-14.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% 66.7% 1.50 -20.5%

Draw 24.3% 25.0% 4.00 -1.7%

Away win 22.7% 20.0% 5.00 +8.1%

Over 2.5 52.0% 58.8% 1.70 -11.6%

Over 3.5 31.6% 38.0% 2.63 -16.9%

BTTS 52.9% 56.8% 1.76 -6.9%

Home O1.5 54.5% 64.5% 1.55 -15.5%

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.9%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.7%

#2 2–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 9.8%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FK Romanija Pale1.8

Omarska0.9

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.0% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FK ROMANIJA PALE · PPG 1.55

OMARSKA · PPG 0.64

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.95 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

FK Romanija Pale (H) 53.0%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -20.5%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.7%

Omarska (A) 22.7%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +8.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

FK Romanija Pale face Omarska in Bosnia - 1st League - RS on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FK Romanija Pale a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Omarska 23%, so FK Romanija Pale are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for FK Romanija Pale and 0.9 for Omarska (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FK Romanija Pale are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 0.64 for Omarska.

FK Romanija Pale vs Omarska Prediction— Bosnia - 1st League - RS

Match Preview & Prediction

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